Hugo Gaston vs Luca Nardi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing the second serve performance over the recent six months, we observe that Gaston has won 41.18% of points on his second serve, while Nardi shows a slightly superior performance with a 45.69% win rate. This metric is a valuable predictor of match outcomes due to its high correlation with match prediction accuracy.

When it comes to return game statistics, Gaston has secured 44.82% of points on his opponent's second serve, whereas Nardi trails slightly with a 44.72% success rate. The figures for first serve returns stand at 24.27% for Gaston and 24.07% for Nardi, and these numbers are pivotal in determining the likely winner in their head-to-head matchup.

In examining performance under pressure, Gaston has managed to save 53.22% of breakpoints recently, contrasted with Nardi's 53.92% save rate. This statistic is crucial for making informed in-game betting predictions. Furthermore, considering the players' ability to convert break points, Gaston has successfully converted 37.5% of his opportunities, while Nardi has converted 30.35% of such chances.

Over the past year, Gaston and Nardi have exhibited near-identical success rates, with Gaston winning 50.79% of his matches and Nardi winning 50.82% of his encounters, providing a comprehensive head-to-head prediction overview. Notably, Gaston's strongest surface is clay, where he boasts a 61% win rate, while his performance on grass is significantly weaker at 44%. Nardi, in contrast, excels on hard courts with a 59% win rate but struggles on grass with a mere 29% win rate.

Regarding player level, Gaston has spent much of the last year competing on the Main tour, achieving a 50% win rate. Conversely, Nardi has primarily participated in Challenger and ITF tournaments, where he has amassed a 66.67% success rate. However, these statistics must be considered relative to the event levels they each predominantly compete in.

When factoring in opponent quality over the previous year, Gaston has contended against opponents with an average rank of 118.05. In comparison, Nardi faced adversaries averaging a rank of 189.46. Additionally, should the match extend to a deciding set, Gaston has prevailed in 61% of such scenarios over the past year, while Nardi has achieved a 47% success rate.

Based on these comprehensive statistics, the analysis leans towards Gaston as the projected winner of their upcoming match. His consistently superior performance in several key areas, including his higher success rate in deciding sets and breakpoint conversion, makes him the favored choice in this contest.